This is a heated rivalry game between two interstate teams that dislike each other, and where both are top teams in their conference. However, getting Tampa Bay as a home dog in this matchup is too much value to pass up. Tampa are 7-3 straight up in this ten game series between the two and have won eight straight games at home. Florida have won ten straight games on the road so this may be a let down spot for them. Look for the Lightning to get up for this game and put their best skate forward.

Florida are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games. Florida are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games against Tampa Bay. Florida are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games on the road. Tampa Bay are 11-3 SU in their last 14 games. Tampa Bay are 8-0 SU in their last 8 games at home. Tampa Bay are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference conference.

Best bet: take Tampa Bay on the moneyline.