Butler has already beaten Villanova earlier this season so playing them on the road shouldn't be too difficult for them to stay in this game, and possibly win it outright again. They have played some very good teams in the last month and have won or lost by very few points. Butler has shown that they can cover in this spot and win in what will be a tight game so take the points.

Butler is 10-2 ATS in road games off 2 straight losses against conference rivals over the last 3 seasons. Villanova is 0-6 ATS in home games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Villanova is 5-14 ATS in home games after a game where they covered the spread over the last 3 seasons.

Best bet: take the points with Butler.