This matchup is a system play for Mack when New Mexico is at the Pit at home, it's tough for opponents to get the win and cover. This is where the Lobos smash their opponents, taking a lot of them to the woodshed. The Lobos play this game with revenge as they lost twice to the Rams on the road so they will dial into this one. This game is crucial and it's probably been circled for awhile, and as they get closer to the tournament look for the Lobos to take advantage of the Rams weaker road play.

Colorado State is 3-5 ATS on the road this season and haven't done well in this spot, and are 0-3 ATS as an away underdog this season. Colorado State are 3-17 SU in their last 20 games when playing on the road against New Mexico. New Mexico are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games. New Mexico are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games at home. Colorado ST is 18-36 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997. The Rams are 0-3 ATS this season as a road underdog of 6 points or less or pick. New Mexico are 14-5 ATS this season when playing only their 2nd game in a week. The Lobos are 9-3 ATS this season as a home favorite.

Best bet: lay the points with New Mexico.