Sam Houston already beat Middle Tennessee earlier this season on the road and they should be able to cover and win at home tonight. The Blue Raiders have been terrible as an underdog this season going 2-11 ATS and worse on the road. The Blue Raiders are playing with revenge but they are on the road and will come up short as they face a Bearkats team who have won seven straight home games in a row. Most of the Blue Raiders road losses have been by double digits. Take the home team.

Middle Tenn ST is 2-11 ATS as an underdog this season. Middle Tenn ST is 1-8 ATS as a road underdog or pick this season. Middle Tenn ST is 2-10 ATS in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. Sam Houston ST is 8-0 ATS in home games off 2 straight wins against conference rivals over the last 3 seasons. Middle Tennessee are 1-14 ATS in their last 15 games on the road. Middle Tennessee are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games played on a Saturday when playing on the road. Sam Houston State are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. Sam Houston State are 7-0 SU in their last 7 games at home. Sam Houston State are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games against an opponent in the Conference USA conference.

Best bet: lay the points with Sam Houston State.