UConn have beaten most of their teams by double digits, especially in this tournament, and going against UConn even in this spot seems like fools gold. Illinois is a good team and they deserve all the praise in getting this far, but they are still terrible on defense. UConn is just on another level and are good at everything, good on both sides of the ball. This game may be close in the first half, but UConn should pull away again in the second half to win and cover this game. UConn have covered in nine of their last ten games.

UConn are 12-2 ATS in their last fourteen games. Connecticut are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games. Illinois are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games against an opponent in the Big East conference. Illinois are 1-2 ATS this season after a close win by 3 points or less. Illinois are 3-3 ATS in the last few seasons in a NCAA tournament games. UConn are 10-3 ATS this season after a cover as a double digit favorite.

Best bet: lay the points with UConn.