The Bucks only put up 102 points on average without Giannis, who puts up most of their 3 point shooting as well. They play better defense when Giannis is in the lineup so expect them to let more shots in as they struggle to block shots and allow turnovers. Two of their last three games head to head, were played Over the total. Indiana is also 25-16 to the Over at home this season. The Pacers have been putting the points up in all areas as they outperformed the Bucks in game 2. They shot 55% from the field and 44% from 3 in the last game. Siakam had a terrific game 2 so expect him to keep the points up. Expect the Pacers role players to play better in this spot as they run up the score. The Bucks should get some points past this mediocre Indiana defense as well, as that will work both ways. At home, the Pacers have played over the total in the majority of their games all season, so expect them to keep pace as they run the score up on the Bucks. When Milwaukee is on the road and playing against the Pacers, the score went over the total in their last five road games. Indiana is 8-0 to the Over in home games off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. Despite Giannis, and two mediocre defenses, there should be a lot of points in the game to send the total to the Over.

Best bet: take the Over the Total.