Kawhi is back in the lineup and he’s still getting up to speed, that is why they only lost by 3 points in the second game. The outcome would have been different if Kawhi was already playing several games before that game. It’s going to take him several games to get up to speed as the chemistry has been disrupted by inserting him in, and that is why his shooting will be down, and his minutes are still down, thus affecting the points total to the Under. However, with him in the lineup, this game stays under the total as the Clippers are better on defense with him in the game. The Clippers have played their last four of five games when they go on the road to play Dallas. They have played their last five out of six games to the Over. Dallas have played their last nine of ten games to the Under, and at home they have played their last seven of eight games to the Under. The Clippers are 10-2 to the Under revenging a home loss versus an opponent this season. With the Mavericks placing Hardaway Jr. and Daniel Gafford on the injuries list, this should affect some scoring on their side of the game. The pace in this game will be slower, despite the Mavericks performance in game 2 with Kawhi in the game. The second game did stay well under the under, and this game still has value in taking the Under. Dallas are 0-2 (O/U) to the Under this season and 1-5 to the Under in the last three seasons after scoring 100 points or less 2 straight games. Dallas off an upset win as an underdog this season is 1-10 (O/U) to the Under, and when the upset is on the road, they are 1-4 (O/U) to the Under this season.

Best bet: take the Under the Total.