Look for a better effort from the Cavaliers now that the series shifts back to Cleveland. Orlando played incredibly well at home in both games shooting over 50% from the field. Now on the road, this team has not fared well on the road this season, they have been a better team at home so there should be some regression for them in this spot. Orlando are 1-7 straight up in their last 8 games when playing on the road against Cleveland. It will be tough to duplicate their offensive shooting percentage on the road against a very good defensive team. Cleveland has played well at home this season and they should bounce back in this spot. Cleveland is 14-6 against the spread when favored at home by 6 points or less this season. The Cavaliers are 5-0 against the spread this season after 2 straight games where they allowed a shooting percentage of 50% or higher from their opponent. Cleveland is 3-0 against the spread this season, and 6-1 against the spread in the last three seasons after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more. This series seems to be one where the home team wins, and wins by bigger than margin. Expect the Cavaliers to go up in this series as they snag a win and cover at home.

Best bet: lay the points with Cleveland.