Falter is due for some regression with an ERA of 3.74 and having lost his last four starts. Pittsburgh's bats have gone ice cold and they will struggle to get anything going against Cincinnati whose offense is starting up again, while the Pirates lineup is missing two of their best hitters today. The Reds play better at home and have the better bullpen in this matchup which gives them the edge. These two teams have already seen this lineup and Falter lost his start against the Reds this season. Falter is 0-2 when starting against Cincinnati with an ERA of 7.71 and a WHIP of 1.714. The Reds should get one back on the Pirates in this revenge series.

Best bet: take Cincinnati on the moneyline (ML).