The Mercury play their best at home this season, now that Griner and Allen are back in the lineup and they have beat some of the top teams at home this season. Phoenix is 6-2 straight up at home this season and are 10-6 against the spread this season. They face the Fever who are off two losses in a row, the last one being a double digit loss to the Storm. The Fever have been improving in all their metrics and slightly in their defensive rating as they head into their third road game. Head to head, the Mercury are 8-2 straight up in their last ten meetings. The Fever have gotten a few wins this season but they are against teams below .500 and they haven’t beaten a team with a winning record, so this will be a big test. This is a game that the Mercury are going to get up for since they haven’t played Caitlin and her team, and Boston and Caitlin get to see Britney Griner do her thing up close and vice versa. This is the Fever’s fourth road game as well and they are on two losses as they enter this game. The Mercury should win this game as this team has the better talent in Copper, Griner, Taurasi and Allen. They should dominate this game and win comfortably against the Fever. Indiana is 2-5 against the spread in its last 7 games on the road. The Phoenix have lost the last two games last season against the Fever so they are playing with some revenge in this one.

Best bet: lay the points with Phoenix.