This game between the Sun and the Mercury should stay under the total. Their last game totaled 117 points which might be the lowest total so far in the league this season. This game may not be quite that low but the oddsmakers are giving a generous 160 points and this game should stay well under that. Phoenix are on a back to back at home and will be on tired legs, and less energy. They also struggled against the Fever to score and they are 10th in defensive rating at home. The Sun play at the slowest speed in the league and they will try to slow the pace down and lock down on less possessions for the Mercury. Connecticut have managed to stay under 81 points in their team total in nine of their last 13 games, averaging 76.4 points per game in their last five. The Mercury didn’t reach their team total in their last game and they are averaging 82 points in their last four games. This game is not going to see a lot of points so there is value in the under. The total has gone Under in 4 of Connecticut's last 6 games. The total has gone Under in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing Connecticut.

Best bet: take the Under the Total.