Cleveland is looking better in their last few games and even though they have Williams on the mound, he does have the backing of the team's bats and best bullpen in the league. Dylan Cease has not been impressive on the road and he’s allowed 16 runs and 6 home runs in his last three road starts and his ERA is 4.72 in his last ten road starts. San Diego is 2-5 in their last 7 games against Cleveland. Their offense hasn’t been lights out by any means in the last few weeks and they are hitting under .250 as a team collectively. The Guardians could light up Cease in this spot so with the better lineup and bullpen, they should win this game at home where they are really strong. Cleveland is 10-2 in their last 12 games at home and they are 31-11 at home this season.

Best bet: take Cleveland on the moneyline (ML).