The Royals are playing well at home and with Wacha on the mound, they should have no problems checking a lot of Arizona’s offense. Nelson on the mound has pitched better as of late and is on the rise so the Royals offense will struggle to get to him here in this spot. This game has two good pitchers starting and runs are going to be at a premium in this game. Arizona has trended to the under this season on the road, while the Royals have trended to the under at home this season. The total has gone Under in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games. The total has gone Under in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games at home. Head to head, the total has gone Under in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games against Arizona.

Best bet: take Under the Total.