Last year, the Cowboys did better at home than on the road last season. Cleveland proved they had one of the best defenses in the league, even under four different quarterbacks last season, they won games. With Deshaun Watson at the helm, they should take care of the Cowboys who have changes on offense, but need to show it on the road where they only averaged 23 points on the road last season. The Browns will be able to run the ball against the Cowboys defense and pressure Dak and blizt him all day. They also made improvements on defense so lay points with the home favorite has value. The Browns are 6-0 against the spread in their last 6 home games. The Cowboys are 1-5 against the spread in their last 6 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.

Best bet: lay the small number with Cleveland.