This series has gone over between these two teams in the last several games. They have gone over in 5 of their last six games when played in Minnesota. Both offenses are hitting right now. Matthews has given up over 13 runs in his last two starts. The Angels bullpen is awful with an ERA of 4.49 while the Twins have an ERA over 4 too so there should be more runs given up when they take over the game. Kochanowicz is due for some regression and is susceptible to the long ball in this spot. Both pitchers will give up runs along with the bullpens. Look for this game to go over the total. The Over is 3-1-2 in the Twins last 6 games as a favorite. The Over is 7-2 in the Angels last 9 games as a road underdog of +201 or greater.

Best bet: take the Over the Total.