This is too many points for a team that can hang around in this game. Florida International has covered every time as a 19.5-point or greater underdog this year. FIU’s defense held up well against La Tech last week and this team is feisty as they go up against the Flame. The Flame have had an easy schedule so far and are 0-2 against the spread versus CUSA teams while only covering one spread in their four games so far while FIU is 1-0 versus the conference. FIU averages 26 points per game while Liberty averages 31 points per game. The Flames will want to run the ball and the Panthers are good at defending the run while they can exploit the Liberty’s weak secondary. This is too many points. The Liberty are 0-1 against the spread at home after a bye week in their last three seasons. The Liberty are 2-8 against the spread when playing against a team with a losing record. FIU is 10-3 against the spread on the road after allowing 14 points or less last game.

Best bet: take the points with Florida International.