This matchup heavily favors West Virginia, with the Mountaineers showcasing a strong home court advantage, winning 12 of their last 19 home games, and coming off a momentum-building overtime win against #3 Gonzaga. They’ve dominated the head-to-head series, winning six of the last seven meetings against Georgetown, and have been solid against the spread this season with a 4-3 ATS record.

West Virginia’s offense has been firing, averaging 83 points in their last two games against ranked opponents, and they’ve excelled as heavy favorites, going 2-0 ATS when favored by 10 or more points. Their defensive pressure, combined with a hostile environment, could create significant challenges for Georgetown, a team that struggled mightily last year with a 2-18 Big East record.

Although Georgetown has shown improvement this season, their track record against strong competition remains questionable, and they may find it difficult to handle the Mountaineers’ pressure on the road. With West Virginia’s home dominance, offensive production, and historical success in this matchup, the -9.5 spread presents solid value for the Mountaineers to cover.