This MAC Championship matchup between Miami (OH) and Ohio sets up as a defensive slugfest, with both teams showcasing elite defensive capabilities. Miami (OH) has allowed the fewest points per game in the nation since Week 7, while Ohio has been equally impressive, not allowing a rushing touchdown in their last four games and holding opponents to a stingy 1.9 yards per carry in recent outings.

While their previous matchup totaled 50 points, it was largely inflated by 14 garbage-time points, as the game was effectively a 30-6 contest until late in the fourth quarter. Offensively, Miami (OH) has struggled with consistency, relying on big plays rather than sustained drives, while Ohio’s turnover issues—having committed at least one turnover in every game this season—have often disrupted their offensive rhythm.

Playing at a neutral site (Ford Field) could further limit scoring opportunities, as neither team will have the familiarity or momentum of a home field. Additionally, both teams are well-acquainted with each other's strategies, which often leads to a more conservative and low-scoring affair in a championship setting.

With a total set at 44 points, oddsmakers and bettors are already anticipating a defensive battle. Considering the teams' defensive strengths, offensive inefficiencies, and situational factors, the Under 44 is a strong play in what should be a tightly contested, low-scoring game.