Houston’s significant improvements on that end of the floor. The Rockets rank second in the NBA in defensive rating, showcasing their ability to limit opponents' scoring opportunities. Their rebounding dominance, leading the league with 50 rebounds per game, further restricts second-chance opportunities and helps control the pace of games, resulting in fewer possessions.

The Rockets’ defensive lineup combinations have been particularly effective, with the trio of Dillon Brooks, Alperen Sengun, and Amen Thompson posting the best defensive rating in the NBA among lineups with at least 100 minutes played. Meanwhile, the Clippers have struggled offensively at times this season, ranking just 15th in total offense, despite their strong record.

Recent history also leans toward a lower-scoring game. In their last meeting on November 15, 2024, the total score was 229 points (Rockets 125, Clippers 104), much closer to the current total than previous high-scoring contests between these teams. Additionally, Rockets coach Ime Udoka prioritizes defense, often benching players who fail to contribute on that end, which further emphasizes Houston's defensive focus.

With both teams being familiar with each other’s strategies, the game is likely to favor a slower pace and a more defensive-oriented approach. Considering Houston’s elite defense, the Clippers’ occasional offensive inconsistency, and the overall context, the Under 215 is a strong play for this matchup.