This AFC North clash between the Steelers and Browns is shaping up to be a higher-scoring affair, supported by recent offensive trends and historical matchups. In their last meeting on November 21, 2024, the total score was 43 points (Browns 24, Steelers 19), narrowly missing the current total of 43.5. Both teams have demonstrated the ability to put up points, with the Steelers averaging 24.8 points per game and showing improvement by scoring 44 points in their last game against the Bengals.

Historical trends favor the Over, as it has hit in 6 of the Steelers' last 7 contests and 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings between these teams. Additionally, the Over is 5-1 in Pittsburgh’s last six games with revenge, highlighting their tendency to engage in higher-scoring affairs when motivated.

Defensively, Cleveland has been vulnerable, ranking 26th in the league by allowing 25.7 points per game, which the Steelers' offense could exploit. On the other side, Browns quarterback Jameis Winston has been a bright spot, throwing for 497 yards and four touchdowns in his last outing, showcasing Cleveland’s offensive potential.

Divisional games often feature competitive back-and-forth action, further boosting the likelihood of a higher total. With both teams in solid offensive form, Cleveland’s defensive struggles, and strong Over trends, the Over 43.5 looks like a strong play in this matchup.