This matchup between Nevada and South Dakota State sets up as a likely defensive battle, with multiple factors favoring the Under 142.5. The Wolf Pack's defensive prowess is evident, as they allow just 65.9 points per game and hold opponents to 39.6% shooting (52nd nationally). Meanwhile, South Dakota State's defense has also stepped up, ranking 41st in opponent field goal percentage at 38.8%.

Recent scoring trends reinforce the case for a lower total, with Nevada going Under in 5 of their last 6 games, and both teams showing moderate offensive production. Nevada averages 74.8 points per game, while South Dakota State’s 78.7 points per game is backed by a solid but not exceptionally fast pace of play. Nevada’s rebounding struggles (276th nationally with 31.0 rebounds per game) may also limit second-chance scoring opportunities.

Although their last meeting in 2021 was a high-scoring affair, the dynamics have shifted, with both teams emphasizing defense this season. Additionally, as the season progresses, college basketball games often see increased defensive intensity, further supporting a lower total. With these factors in mind, the Under 142.5 is a strong play for this matchup.