This matchup between San Diego State and Cal Baptist sets up as a defensive showdown, with several factors pointing toward the Under 136. San Diego State's defense is among the nation's elite, ranking 1st in block percentage (20.2%), 2nd in 2-point percentage defense (39.9%), and 3rd in effective field goal percentage defense (41.6%). The Aztecs have consistently shut down opponents, holding six of their first eight teams under 40% shooting, including five under 35% and two under 30%.

On the other side, Cal Baptist's offense has struggled, shooting just 43.8% from the field (230th nationally), which could spell trouble against SDSU's suffocating defense. This was evident in their recent outing, where the Lancers managed only 59 points against UCF, a less formidable defensive opponent than SDSU.

San Diego State's home-court advantage at Viejas Arena adds another layer of difficulty for Cal Baptist, as the Aztecs are historically dominant at home. Additionally, under Coach Brian Dutcher, the Aztecs boast an impressive 95-7 record when holding opponents to 60 points or fewer, a threshold they’re likely to approach in this game.

The potential for a slower-paced game, especially as these teams meet for the first time, further supports a lower-scoring contest. With San Diego State's defensive dominance and Cal Baptist's offensive struggles, the Under 136 is a strong play for this matchup.