The matchup between the St. Louis Blues and San Jose Sharks sets up well for a low-scoring affair, with several key factors pointing towards the Under 6 as a strong play. The Blues have shown significant defensive improvement, allowing just 2.3 goals per game over their last 10 games, while the Sharks’ offense has been inconsistent, averaging only 3.2 goals per game during the same stretch. This contrast suggests San Jose could struggle to break through St. Louis’ improving defensive structure.

Recent head-to-head history also supports a lower total, with their last meeting ending in a 3-2 shootout—well under tonight’s total. Additionally, the Blues’ home record of 5-6-1 suggests they tend to play more conservatively in familiar territory, while the Sharks’ road struggles (4-10-4) further indicate a defensive approach might dominate this matchup.

Goaltending will play a significant role, with Jordan Binnington’s solid form for the Blues, including tying the franchise record for wins in his last matchup against the Sharks, adding to the likelihood of limited scoring opportunities. The Blues’ recent trend of low-scoring games, where even their highest-scoring recent contest was a 4-3 overtime win, strengthens the case for the Under 6 as a promising bet in this clash.