The Minnesota Vikings enter this matchup with an impressive 11-2 record, powered by a dynamic offense averaging 26 points per game. At home, that production rises to 28.7 points per game and an even higher 31.7 in recent weeks. Quarterback Sam Darnold has been at the helm of this offensive surge, throwing for 3,299 yards, 28 touchdowns, and just 10 interceptions.

Defensively, Minnesota ranks third in the NFL in EPA per play allowed (-0.095), solidifying their status as a top-tier unit. The Vikings thrive at home, where they hold a 6-1 overall record and are 5-2 against the spread this season. Additionally, Minnesota is 7-3 ATS when playing their third consecutive home game, a testament to their ability to capitalize on extended home stands.

Meanwhile, the Chicago Bears are reeling, sitting at 4-9 and riding a seven-game losing streak. Their offensive struggles have been particularly pronounced on the road, where they’ve averaged just 14.3 points per game this season. Defensively, the Bears have regressed, which is a significant concern against a Vikings team firing on all cylinders.

In their last meeting, Minnesota narrowly edged Chicago 30-27 on the road. With the game now shifting to U.S. Bank Stadium, the Vikings hold a clear advantage. Nearly 75% of bets back Minnesota to cover the 7-point spread, and given their home dominance, offensive firepower, and Chicago's road struggles, taking Minnesota -7 is a promising bet for this NFC North showdown.