Recent Form: Memphis finished the season with an impressive 10-2 record, capped by a statement upset win over Tulane, while West Virginia limped to a 6-6 finish and suffered a 52-15 blowout loss to Texas Tech.

Offensive Firepower: Memphis boasts a high-powered offense, ranking 24th in FBS with 35.2 points per game, compared to West Virginia's 28.5 points per game (63rd).

Defensive Edge: The Tigers hold an advantage defensively, allowing just 22.8 points per game (41st nationally), while the Mountaineers have struggled, giving up 31.1 points per game (106th).

Turnover Differential: Memphis thrives on creating turnovers, forcing 24 takeaways (9th in FBS) and committing just 8 (2nd in FBS), a clear advantage over West Virginia’s inconsistencies.

Coaching Turmoil: West Virginia enters this game with uncertainty, as head coach Neal Brown was fired, leaving the Mountaineers under interim leadership—a factor that could impact their preparation and focus.

Betting Trends: The spread has moved in Memphis' favor since opening, signaling significant support from bettors backing the Tigers.

Momentum: Memphis rides a three-game winning streak into this matchup, while West Virginia has faltered down the stretch.

Key Takeaway: Given Memphis' offensive efficiency, defensive advantage, and West Virginia's coaching instability, Memphis -4.5 stands out as a strong play for this matchup.