Indiana is overmatched in this game, especially without Race Thompson and Xavier Johnson. The Hoosiers will struggle against the Illini's length inside the arc, where nearly 60 percent of their points are generated. IU ranks 327th in three-point attempt percentage, and most of its production comes from isolations. Illinois holds its opponents to a 42.7% two-point percentage and the 19th-lowest 3-point attempt percentage.

The Illini are efficient inside the arc on offense (56.4% on two-pointers) and rank 36th in rebounding (Indiana is 176th). Dain Dainja and company will get the better of Trayce Jackson-Davis, bullying their way to second-chance buckets and free throws, especially later in the game.

Illinois has won four straight, with three double-digit victories. The closest margin of victory was nine vs. Michigan State. It will continue to roll at home against Indiana, putting the freefalling Hoosiers into an unenviable position in the Big Ten standings seven games into the conference portion of their schedule.

You can bet this to -8.