The under is 32-21-5 in games Chicago was a betting underdog this season, the fourth-highest under winning percentage (60.4%) in MLB. In the road games it was an underdog, the under cashed 62.5 percent of the time (20-12-3), the third-highest winning percentage.

The under is my bet on the total, as I feel confident this will be more of a pitcher's duel than expected. As long as Kopech doesn't walk too many batters, he should be able to give Chicago five or six solid innings of work, holding Atlanta to two or three runs. Morton has been tough to score against lately, and I wouldn't be surprised if he had a similar stat line, as the Southsiders hit just .229 BA/.292 OBP/.385 SLG/.678 OPS on the road and .232/.291/.385/.676 vs. right-handed pitchers. They averaged only 3.7 runs in June.

Bet on the White Sox to cover the run line and the total to be under 9.5 in a low-scoring game between unfamiliar foes.