The Reds sport a 75-45 run line record, but most of those wins came as underdogs. Cincinnati is just 13-16 RL as favorites and 9-12 RL as home favorites. The Guardians are 37-19 RL as underdogs and 23-13 as road underdogs, too.

Cincy is slashing .232 BA/.296 OBP/.417 SLG/.714 OPS since the All-Star break and is just 3-9 SU in its last 12 overall. Syndergaard has looked much better since his last start with LA back in early June and will continue his competitive play on Wednesday. The fact that the Reds tagged him for six runs in that final outing has likely been weighing in the back of his mind and should serve as motivation tomorrow night.

Cleveland hits pretty consistently no matter the venue, slashing .247/.312/.380/.692 at home and .254/.314/.382/.696 on the road this season. They average a full run more on the road, too. The rookie Abbott has been prone to some up-and-down performances since July and will likely need significant run support if the Reds are going to cover the spread.

I'll bet on the Guardians +1.5.