Tampa Bay vs. Cleveland (Under 7.5)
(MLB) Tampa Bay vs. Cleveland,
Total: 7.50 | -105.00 Under
Result: Win
I'm betting on a lopsided win by Tampa Bay on Friday, as I'm confident Tyler Glasnow and the Rays bullpen will keep Cleveland's bats on ice.

The under is 44-21-1 in Guardians home games this season, the highest under winning percentage (67.7%) in MLB. It is 57-34-2 in Cleveland's games against American League competitors, also the highest under winning percentage (62.6%). When Tampa is a road favorite, the under is 27-17-2 (61.4%).

Cleveland has been a low-scoring club all season, no matter where it plays (3.5 runs/game at home). After scoring 25 runs in its last four games, I predict it will struggle to get on the scoreboard against Tampa Bay tomorrow.

Tampa Bay will score a handful of runs, but that won't be enough to push the game total over 7.5. Even if Cal Quantrill falls short, the Guardians' pen (3.48 ERA and 1.25 WHIP) will keep the score from getting too out of hand.