Betting Trend: The under is 30-21-2 (58.8%) when the Rays are betting favorites on the road.

My total bet in Tuesday's Rays-Red Sox game is on the under at 8.5 total runs scored. Both Zach Eflin and Tanner Houck have been performing well lately. The former has pitched to a 1.05 WHIP with 31 strikeouts in 22 innings after a solid string of starts in August (2.62 ERA and 1.02 WHIP), and the latter is coming off his best two-game stretch all season.

Tampa Bay may play without Brandon Lowe, Randy Arozarena, and Yandy Diaz, making it a poor bet to produce five-plus runs. As it is, it's averaging 1.5 fewer runs per game in September than in August. Boston, meanwhile, is having its worth month at the plate this season (.237 BA/.303 OBP/.381 SLG/.684 OPS), averaging only 4.0 runs per game. 

Taking this into consideration, I feel that there is significant value in a four-unit wager on eight or fewer total runs in Tuesday's game!