The wrong team is favored in Sunday's Warriors-Cavaliers game. I'm taking advantage with a moneyline wager on Golden State to come out on top!

The Warriors, sixth in schedule-adjusted offensive rating and fifth in defensive rating, are coming off a momentous win over the Thunder. Like Indiana did, they'll get off to a hot start against Cleveland, especially if they're hot from long distance. 43.0 percent of Golden State's shot attempts come from beyond the arc, the sixth-highest percentage in the league. Cleveland, meanwhile, is just 22nd in three-point defense, as its opponents are shooting 37.6 percent from long range.

The Warriors are playing well defensively, especially behind the arc. They have held their opponents to 32.5 percent shooting from three, the fifth-lowest opponent shooting percentage in the NBA. Considering that Cleveland shot just 28.6 percent from long distance last game, it's a bad bet to bounce back from three-point range on Sunday.