I am picking the under in the Gasparilla Bowl. While both teams are high-scoring, I'm confident the bar is set too high given that these teams prefer to run the football. The Yellow Jackets (16th in rushing yards/game) and Knights (4th in rushing yards/game) will bleed the game clock pushing the football down the field. Both defenses are weak vs. the run (121st and 131st in opponent rushing yards/game), as well. This match-up features two offenses that consistently pick up third downs and both defenses have struggled to get off the field on third down.

I'm also confident that at least one of each team's scoring drives will flame out in the red zone. The Knights (101st in red zone scoring %) and Yellow Jackets (65th in red zone scoring %) aren't sure locks to put points on the board when they get into the red zone.

This total opened at 62 and has come up too high, in my opinion!