I faded the Michigan offense by betting on the under in the Wolverines' week one game against Fresno State, and I'll be laying the points with the Longhorns on Saturday as my bet against their offense in week two.

Texas boasted the third-best rushing defense last season, holding opponents to 82 yards per game and 2.9 yards per carry. Michigan's running game was average against Fresno, as its backs only produced three runs of 10-plus yards, two of which came on consecutive plays in the fourth quarter. I'm not sold on the home-run ability of their backs, especially against this Texas front.

That will put pressure on Wolverines QB Davis Warren, a former walk-on, who struggled to create explosive plays in his first career start last weekend. He went 15-for-25 (4.7 yards per pass attempt) with a TD and an INT, completing eight of those passes to TE Colstand Loveland, the lone returning offensive starter. That was an average Bulldogs defense, by the way. While I presume QB Alex Orji will play more than he did in week one, his skill set is run-focused.

The Wolverines' defense is not their problem, but the Longhorns have a reliable future pro at QB in Quinn Ewers. They scored 52 points on Colorado State, needing zero explosive plays to find the end zone. Those plays were likely stashed for this week... I expect Texas to have a few home run plays and finish off its red zone drives with touchdowns more often than not, building a lead the Wolverines are incapable of coming back from.

Bet on Texas to win by more than a touchdown on Saturday at the Big House!