PREMIUM
PHILA EAGLES -3.5: NFL BEST BET
(NFL) Eagles (PHI) vs. Giants (NYG),
Point Spread: -3.50 | -106.00 Eagles (PHI) (Away)
Result: Win
Point Spread: -3.50 | -106.00 Eagles (PHI) (Away)
Result: Win
I'm backing the Birds to cover the 3.5-point spread on Sunday. Here's why it's my NFL best bet of the day:
-The Eagles have a significant offensive advantage. Philly is 11th in the league in EPA per play (0.045), while NY is 24th (-0.053). Saquon Barkley is returning to MetLife Field for the first time since leaving the G-Men, and I believe he'll have a great game. The Giants are already without pass rusher Kayvon Thibodeaux, and Brian Burns and Dexter Lawrence are questionable to play. Without OT Andrew Thomas, the Giants have a glaring hole on their o-line. While Philly is also dealing with a few injuries, the loss of Thomas is a major blow for New York.
-The Giants rarely cover at home with Daniel Jones under center (14-19 ATS), including 1-4 ATS in the second game of consecutive home games, failing to cover by an average of 6.2 points per game.
-I see value in Philadelphia's side, as I believe casuals are overlooking them following last week's subpar showing vs. Cleveland and the drama surrounding coach Nick Sirianni's squabbles with their fans.
-The Eagles are 12-7 both straight-up and against the spread in games with lines of +3 to -3 under Sirianni (the Giants are 4-9 SU and 5-8 ATS under Brian Daboll in the same situation).
Philly will be all business on the road against its rival, especially on offense. This game feels like a potential blowout, and I'm all on the Eagles' side at -3.5!
-The Eagles have a significant offensive advantage. Philly is 11th in the league in EPA per play (0.045), while NY is 24th (-0.053). Saquon Barkley is returning to MetLife Field for the first time since leaving the G-Men, and I believe he'll have a great game. The Giants are already without pass rusher Kayvon Thibodeaux, and Brian Burns and Dexter Lawrence are questionable to play. Without OT Andrew Thomas, the Giants have a glaring hole on their o-line. While Philly is also dealing with a few injuries, the loss of Thomas is a major blow for New York.
-The Giants rarely cover at home with Daniel Jones under center (14-19 ATS), including 1-4 ATS in the second game of consecutive home games, failing to cover by an average of 6.2 points per game.
-I see value in Philadelphia's side, as I believe casuals are overlooking them following last week's subpar showing vs. Cleveland and the drama surrounding coach Nick Sirianni's squabbles with their fans.
-The Eagles are 12-7 both straight-up and against the spread in games with lines of +3 to -3 under Sirianni (the Giants are 4-9 SU and 5-8 ATS under Brian Daboll in the same situation).
Philly will be all business on the road against its rival, especially on offense. This game feels like a potential blowout, and I'm all on the Eagles' side at -3.5!
