CARDS-CHARGERS UNDER 44.5
(NFL) Chargers (LAC) vs. Cardinals (ARI),
Total: 44.50 | -118.00 Under
Result: Win
The vast majority of the wagers on this game are on the over (as of Thursday 90% of the money on Draftkings was on the over), which is surprising to me given how the Cardinals' offense has performed recently and the physical, hard-nosed mentality of Jim Harbaugh's Chargers defense.

I'll flow the opposite direction in this Monday night game. The under is 3-0-1 in the last four meetings between these teams, 7-2 in Arizona's last nine games overall and 10-2 in LA's last 12 overall. On top of that, home underdogs on MNF produce under A LOT (17-3-1), totaling an average of 35.9 PPG in the last 21 games.