TENN-BUFFALO OVER 40.5
(NFL) Titans (TEN) vs. Bills (BUF),
Total: 40.50 | -114.00 Over
Result: Win
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Buffalo is putting up over 27 points per game despite passing for less than 200 yards per game, as the ground game has led the way. I expect the offense (third in offensive DVOA) to be humming in both ways on Sunday, as Josh Allen was already playing more confidently, and now he has an experienced receiver to target in Amari Cooper. The Jets' defense did all it could to keep him in check, but he extended plays with his legs and made some great reads against the second-rated pass defense.

The Bills will carry this total most of the way, and the Titans will factor in 14 or 15 points. The visitors could find open running lanes against a Buffalo defense allowing a league-worst 5.3 yards per rush. While I have serious doubts that Tennessee will capitalize on this by finishing its drives with touchdowns, there's bound to be a garbage score or two in what should be a blowout win for the Bills.