I'm backing the road dogs in this NFC North division clash, as I believe the Lions are the more polished team.

QB Jared Goff has a completion rate of over 70% and 12.1 yards per attempt when blitzed and easily handled Brian Flores' blitz-happy defense last season. He has several reliable receivers to work with and a terrific complementary ground game (1st in EPA per rush this season). Minny boasts the top-ranked defense in the NFL by DVOA but hasn't faced an offense that ranks in the top ten for early-down success rate. Detroit ranks first in that metric...

On the other side of the ball, negative regression is looming for QB Sam Darnold. He has been mistake-free so far, but with RB Aaron Jones sidelined, he has more pressure on him to deliver. This line also shifted too much in my opinion following the devastating injury to Lions DE Aidan Hutchinson. His loss will be felt throughout the season, but HC Dan Campbell will have his troops motivated and ready to rock for this pivotal divisional matchup in Minneapolis.

Bet on the Detroit ML!