Trend: LSU HC Brian Kelly is 28-13-1 ATS (68.3%) as an underdog of at least a field goal, covering by 5.75 points per game. He is also 21-3 SU when coming off a bye week.

I trust Brian Kelly to have the Tigers ready to rock in what should be a close game on Saturday in Death Valley. LSU has faced a much tougher schedule than Alabama and has a passing offense capable of pushing the Tide back against the wall. Bama will keep pace for a while, but I don't trust Jalen Milroe (four INTs in the last three games) to rise to the occasion enough to cover this spread.