Colorado stinks. It has posted a 7.02 ERA (28th in MLB) and 1.83 WHIP (30th). Wednesday's SP Cal Quantrill gave up five runs in his first start and allowed six runs in his last start vs. the Cubs last season. Chicago's hitters sport a .326 BA in 43 career at-bats versus him.

The Cubbies' offense is hot, producing 26 runs in their last three games (all wins). They have won 15 of their last 16 as home favorites vs. the Rockies, who have dropped 11 consecutive Wednesday road games. At +120 odds, I love the value on the home team to win by more than one run tonight at Wrigley Field!