Betting Trends: The over is 6-2 in Pittsburgh's road games this season. It was 64-50-2 in its games versus National League competition last year.

I see a path to the over with the total set at nine runs. These starting pitchers have unreliable track records, and both lineups are powerful. The Phillies are jumping all over left-handed pitching (.277 BA/.358 OBP/.361 SLG/.719 OPS), and Pitt is hitting both lefty and righty pitching well this season. If one or both starters aren't on their A-games, the total could go over before the sixth inning. Furthermore, Philadelphia's bullpen hasn't gotten the job done in 2024, posting a 5.24 ERA (24th) and 1.46 WHIP (23rd).

The Pirates are scoring 6.2 runs per game on the road and 5.3 runs per game overall. The Phillies' bats haven't performed up to expectations this season, but they're due for positive regression. With that said, I feel confident the over will cash in Saturday's clash of Pennsylvania ballclubs.