Two big reasons I like this play and am not worried about laying a big number. First, the Phoenix are a very bad basketball team. They’re just 3-24 on the season, including a loss at home to D-2 Michigan Tech. Bettors still give them too much love and they’re just 4-10 ATS in Horizon League play. On the other side, the Colonials are one of the hottest teams in the country, winning 10 of their L11 and covering the number in all 11. These two teams got together earlier in the season at Green Bay and the Phoenix defense did nothing to slow down Robert Morris and ultimately lost by 22. I expect similar results from the home team tonight.