ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Under 45 Points – New England @ LA Rams, Thursday at 8:20 PM ET - Most will look at the Patriots 45-0 win last week and think the offense lit it up. Not the case. In fact, the Pats had just 291 total yards in the game. They benefited from a punt return for a TD and a blocked punt return for a TD. Plus they were playing a bad Charger defense that has now allowed at least 27 points in 9 straight games. A week earlier they scored 20 points in a win over Arizona and had only 179 total yards. That’s 65 points the last 2 weeks despite averaging only 235 YPG. That can’t continue. Now they face one of the top defenses in the NFL. The Rams are in the top 5 in total defense and scoring defense and they rank #1 in the NFL allowing only 4.6 YPP. New England is in the bottom 10 in scoring averaging just 22 PPG. In the 5 games this year the Ram defense has played a team currently ranked in the bottom 10 in scoring, they’ve allowed an average of 13 PPG. Defensively, the Pats have been playing very well. The have allowed 17 points or less in 3 of their last 4 games. We’re not talking about poor offenses either as the 3 teams they scored 17 or less were the Ravens, Cardinals, and Chargers. The Rams have played to the UNDER in 7 of their last 9 games and New England has gone UNDER in 4 straight. With the spread set a Rams -5, the projected score in this game is LA 25 – New England 20. We don’t think either team hits their projected score here and we like the UNDER.