#296 ASA PLAY ON 8* Miami FL +1 over Oklahoma State, Tuesday at 5:30 PM ET - We love the situation here with Miami coming off a blowout loss vs UNC to end the season while OSU steps in off a blowout win over Baylor. The Canes failed to cover that home finale vs the Heels by 39 points and the Cowboys covered their finale by 33 points. With that in mind, bowl underdogs coming off a season ending SU loss as a favorite are 25-9 ATS if playing a bowl opponent that won their season ender by at least 17 points. Miami will have plenty of motivation which is key when handicapping bowl games. On top of everything above, the Canes lost last year as a bowl favorite getting shutout by La Tech 14-0 providing an extra spark of motivation for this game. Take a listen to Miami starting safety Bubba Bolden this week, “we are coming into this game with a lot of fire, I’ll tell you that right now...We take this very personally, and after the last game’s performance, that was not the Miami way.’’ They also received a mental boost this week when star QB King (2,500 yards passing / 600 yards rushing / 22 TD’s) said he’s coming back next year. We have no doubt the Canes are fully focused for this game in which they have the travel edge with this game being played in Orlando. OSU started the season 4-0 but closed just 3-3 over their last 6 games with their 3 wins all coming vs teams that finished the season below .500. They leaned on their defense early in the season but the regressed heavily on that side of the ball down the stretch allowing 30 PPG over their last 6. Minus their final game vs Baylor (118th in total offense) this OSU defense allowed 38 PPG & 529 YPG over their final 4 (again minus Baylor). They were outgained in 4 of their final 5 games and their star RB Hubbard is not playing in this game. If not for their recent opposite end of the spectrum performances, the Canes would be favored in this game. Line value and motivation in Miami’s favor so we’ll take them to win this one.