ASA PLAY ON 8* Green Bay -6.5 over LA Rams, Saturday at 4:35 PM ET - We like the Packers at home laying under a TD in this one. Historically this is a terrible spot for the Rams as teams coming off a SU win as an underdog in the Wildcard round are just 22-36 ATS as an underdog in the Divisional round (only 12-46 SU in that spot). The Rams are banged up at a number of key positions including both offensive tackles, DT Aaron Donald, and QB Jared Goff. He was already struggling throwing the ball over the final month of the season and now he had surgery on his hand a few weeks ago and struggled to grip the ball last week. Now in the cold weather, where Goff has been terrible anyway (0 TD’s and 5 interceptions in the 2 games in his career below 30 degrees) we can’t foresee him having a good game. The Rams will go heavy with the run game here, but they will still need Goff to play very well to win this game and we just don’t see it. The Packers are rested and unlike Goff, Aaron Rodgers has been great in cold weather with a passer rating of 108.7 with 10 TD’s and just 1 interception in his last 10 games in temps below 30 degrees (windchill on Saturday will be in the mid 20’s). While GB has had a week off to prepare and rest up, the Rams will be playing in their 10th consecutive week. Tough situation especially when you’re already banged up. While we respect the Rams defense and expect they will have some success against the GB offense, we still feel the Packers will put numbers on the board here. Only 3 of the Rams opponents this season in their 17 games played ranked in the top 10 in total offense to end the season. Two of those opponents (Buffalo & TB) scored 35 & 24 points respectively, far more than LA’s season average of 18.6 PPG allowed. GB will definitely be one of the top few offenses this defense has faced this season. We don’t think LA’s offense with an inaccurate and injured QB will keep up here. Lay it.