ASA top play on 10* UNDER 228 San Antonio Spurs @ Golden State Warriors, 9 PM ET - Our model is projecting 222 total points in this game or league average. We can make an immediate comparison with the Spurs most recent game against the Blazers. Vegas set a number of 226.5 in that game and they scored 229. But Portland is one of the worst defenses in the NBA allowing 1.14 points per possession while Golden State is better at 1.103PPP. Golden State is faster in pace of play than Portland but also way worse in offensive efficiency as the Warriors rank 24th. The Spurs have played Under in 4 of their last five games and if we eliminate the Overtime period they played against Minnesota, their total points scored in games has been less than 228 in 7 of their last ten. Golden State is struggling on the offensive end of the floor with the 24th ranked offensive efficiency rating in the NBA, shooting just 44% from the field overall and having the 20th ranked 3-point percentage. The Warriors defense has shown steady improvements though allowing 108 or less points in 5 of their last seven and the two games they gave up more than that were against two of the best offenses in the NBA (Nuggets/Lakers). San Antonio is below average in terms of offensive efficiency and scoring this season. Golden State has played in some higher scoring games this season, but they came against bad defensive teams and the Spurs rank 11th in DEFF so it won’t be easy tonight. We don’t see these two scoring more than 222.