ASA top play on 10* OVER 6.5 Vancouver Canucks at Toronto Maple Leafs, 7:00 PM ET - Below is our write-up from Thursday's easy winner on the over - game finished 7-3 - with some slight tweaks to update it for tonight's game. Both these clubs are struggling badly on the penalty kill.  Both power plays, particularly the Maple Leafs, have been strong to start this season.  Some special teams goals are likely tonight and we also should see plenty of scoring in 5 on 5 action as well.  Vancouver has struggled to stop anyone this season other than a bad Ottawa club.  In their games other than the 3 against the Senators, the Canucks have allowed an average of 4.7 goals per game!  Vancouver will absolutely have their hands full here trying to contain a potent Maple Leafs team that blasted them for 7 goals Thursday and is fully capable of another strong performance on home ice here.  Toronto has averaged a full 4 goals per game in its 8 wins this season.  The key to the value here is the total at 6.5 goals and the fact that the Leafs have allowed 3 goals in regulation time of each of the last 4 games.  Vancouver is fired up after getting shellacked at Montreal in back to back games and then hammered in the first game of this series too!  The Canucks are very capable of scoring well - they just can't stop anyone is the problem!  Looking at the Canucks last 10 games heading into this one, the average goals scored by Vancouver is a solid 4 goals a game.  Per our computer math model, this one falls in the range of a 5-4, 4-3, or 5-3 type game.  If you like goals, tune into the Scotiabank Arena tonight!  Based on value and the situation - and the fact the markets have not yet adjusted to a total of 7 goals - still holding at 6.5 as of early morning, we like OVER here.