#978 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Milwaukee -130 over Minnesota, Saturday at 7:10 PM ET - The Brewers rallied for 3 in the bottom of the 9th to tie up Thursday's season opener. Then in the top of the 10th Josh Hader struck out the side as he continues to be a dominant closer for Milwaukee and they won it in the bottom of the 10th. The Brewers definitely hold the bullpen edge in this match-up but the Twins concerns here go far beyond their relievers. Minnesota's lineup is impacted here because it is an NL park and that means no DH which in turn means no Nelson Cruz. Additionally, the Twins Josh Donaldson started Thursday's game but now is out with a hamstring injury. As for the pitching match-up here, Jose Berrios gets the start for the Twins. Not only is Berrios coming off a sub-par season - by his standards - in 2020, he also is known for struggling more on the road than at home. He got hit at a .183 clip at home last season but .288 on the road last season. In 2018 Berrios was great at home but went 3-7 with a 4.85 ERA in his 15 road starts. In 2017 he was also fantastic at home but Berrios went 5-7 with a 5.17 ERA away from home. In his last start in Milwaukee, Berrios gave up 3 homers in 5 innings! Corbin Burnes gets the start for the Brewers here and he allowed just 2 hits in 5 innings in his start at Minnesota last season. Now he is on his home mound facing the Twins and Burnes went 2-0 with a 1.40 ERA in his 5 appearances (3 starts) at American Family Field last season. Overall Burnes went 4-1 with a 2.11 ERA and a .174 BAA as he returned to the form of his rookie season of 2018 when he went 7-0 with a 2.61 ERA and a .199 BAA. Burnes was fantastic this spring and we see every reason to believe he'll get the better of this match-up with Berrios as the latter sees his long-term road struggles continue. We’ll grab the home team at a very fair price on the money line in this one and bet MILWAUKEE.