#967/968 ASA TOP PLAY ON Over 10 Runs – Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays, Wednesday at 7:07 PM ET – What a rare game for Baltimore yesterday! Not only did they get a good start from Keegan Akin but their bullpen performed well also and that led to a 4-2 win. We do not expect lightning to strike twice on back to back days. The Orioles are starting Matt Harvey and he is 6-14 with a 6.18 ERA on the season. He is not showing signs of turning it around either as he is 0-3 with a 6.75 ERA in his last 3 starts. Also, in his last 3 starts against Toronto, Harvey has been charged with 13 earned runs in 13 and 2 / 3 innings! That said, the Blue Jays lineup should certainly have a bounce back day. But that is why Toronto is a high-priced favorite and we just can not trust Toronto starter Steven Matz which is why we are looking to ride the over to victory in this one. The Blue Jays lefty struggled at Baltimore when he faced the Orioles early in July. The over is 7-3 in his 10 home starts this season. Matz has pitched well in day games this season but, under the lights, he is 5-5 with a 4.89 ERA and opponents hitting .299 against him! The Orioles should get to him again here just like the prior meeting but, at the same time, look for Harvey and the Baltimore relievers that follow him to get pounded in this one. This total is in the 10 range and our computer math model shows this one getting into a range of about a dozen runs scored with each club enjoying success at the plate and having a solid shot of getting to 5 runs apiece which, of course, would mean at least 11 runs (6-5 final at a minimum) in this one. Bet the Over