#468 ASA PLAY ON 8* Minnesota +1.5 over Green Bay, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET - Green Bay has overcome a number of key injuries but we think it catches up with them here vs an underrated Minnesota team. The Packers will be without their starting RB (Jones), their top pass rusher (Smith), another top pass rusher is questionable (Gary), their LT is out, starting TE out (Tonyan), top CB out (Alexander), 2 other CB’s are questionable (Stokes & King), starting WR doubtful (Lazard), and Aaron Rodgers has a bad toe and didn’t practice all week until Friday and he was still limited. Rodgers actually hasn’t participated in a full practice since October 22nd. His last 2 games were pretty average by his standards with a 60% completion rate, 2 TD’s and 1 interception. Minnesota is much better than their 4-5 record. 6 of their 9 games have come down to the final minute of play or went into OT. The Vikings lost 4 of those 6 games. Minnesota has played the tougher schedule (9th most difficult compared to GB at 22nd most difficult) and despite that the overall stats are very close with GB at +30 YPG and the Vikings at +15 YPG. FB Outsiders DVOA has Minnesota rated as the 9th best team in the NFL and GB rated at 12th. GB has been favored @ Minnesota 13 times since 1995 and covered only 4 of those games. The Vikes have been a home dog 22 times since 2012 and they’ve covered 17 of those games. We like the desperate home underdog that needs this win to get to .500 and keep their playoffs hopes from diminishing.