ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* UNDER 45.5 Buffalo Bills @ New Orleans Saints, Thursday 8:20 PM ET - Let’s not overreact to the Bills game last week when their defense looked atrocious against the Colts for a couple reasons. First off, the Colts offense is playing quite well right now behind a great O-line and RB Jonathan Taylor. Secondly, the Bills were #1 in the NFL in defensive DVOA and still rank 1st in yards per game allowed 2nd in passing D, 9th in rushing D and 2nd in points allowed per game at 17.6. On average it takes opponents 16.3 yards gained for 1-point which is 9th best in the NFL. Buffalo is also 1st in yards per play allowed this season at 4.7. After a horrible showing last week, we are betting the Bills defense shows up here. The Bills aren’t the only team in this game with a fantastic defense. The Saints rank 5th in defensive DVOA, give up 5.4YPPL (11th), 15.7 yards per point (13th) and rank 10th in points allowed per game at 21.8. The Saints offense is banged up, down to their 3rd string QB and could be without Kamara again here. Last week the Saints had less than 100-total yards of offense going into the 4th quarter against the Eagles and 7-points. The 22-points and yards gained in the 4th quarter came after that game was out of reach. The Bills offense has looked pedestrian at best in two of their last three games with 6 and 15-points against the Jaguars and Colts. They did put up 45-points versus the Jets, but New York has the worst defense in the NFL. The bet here is Under.